瘦肉猪价格 = 亏损

　　Lean Hog Price = Losses

　　瘦肉猪价格 = 亏损

　　At the beginning of March the USDA National 53-54% lean hog price average was $87.09 a lb. and was moving close to the breakeven area in the low 90’s. At the end of last week the 53-54% National lean hog price was $77.78, a $20 per head decline. We expect many farrow to finish hog producers will be losing up to $30 per head at this price. Last year same time 53-54% was averaging $86.28 and feed was cheaper.

　　3月初，美国农业部的53-54%瘦肉猪全国平均价格为$87.09/磅，非常接近于90美分的盈亏平衡。上周未，53-54%瘦肉猪的全国平均价格为$77.78，每头下跌$20美元。我们预计许多自繁自养养猪生产者在这个价位将损失高达$30美元。去年同期的53-54％瘦肉平均价格为86.28美元，且饲料更加便宜。

　　Why is this happening?

　　发生了什么？

　　• Paylean issues with Russia and China makes pork exports more challenging and hurts demand and optimism.

　　• 培林在俄罗斯和中国出现的问题使猪肉出口更具挑战性，并影响到需求及乐观前景。

　　• Seasonal trends are a factor but last year with about the same amount of pork production, prices were $20 per head higher.

　　• 季节性影响是一个因素。但去年猪肉产量基本相同，每头猪的价格高出20美元。

　　• Secretary of Ag, Vilsack’s continual discussion on meat inspectors being cut because of the US government sequester with their subsequent budget cuts. This does not help confidence in general and we wonder if foreign buyers begin to distrust the US ability to deliver and look for other sources?

　　• 由于美国政府进行预算削减，农业部长汤姆•维尔萨克多次谈到肉品检查员被削减的情况。这正常是无助于信心建立。我们想知道是否外国买家会不相信美国有能力生产并寻找其它来源。

　　• Possible lower domestic pork demand because of lower disposable income from increased gasoline prices and increased income tax deductions.

　　• 由于汽油价格上涨以及所得税应税收益减免额上升导致的可支配收入减少，可能会降低国内对猪肉的需求。

　　Last Week

　　上周

　　Last week we attended the 30th annual Bethany Swine Health Services Production Meeting.

　　上周我们参加了第30届贝瑟尼猪健康服务生产会议。

　　Bethany under the guidance of Charlie and Mike Schelkopf DVMs and their team operate and or manage approximately 35,000 sows farrow to finish. We were there as many of the herds use Genesus Genetics. Every year the Production meeting ranks sows and finishers while showing trends in production. It is very interesting to see the gains made over the years in all production characteristics. This year the cost of feed and how to best utilize was a paramount discussion. Like all production groups there is variation from top to bottom. The real good thing is all involved know where they rank and see what is possible.

责任编辑：